fa تأثیر پولشویی بر سلامت رشد اقتصادی در ایران تخصصي Special اصيل Original Article <div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size:8pt"><span style="line-height:18pt"><span style="direction:rtl"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times=""><span style="letter-spacing:-0.15pt"><b><span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">زمینه و هدف:</span></span></b><span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:"> از آنجایی که رسیدن</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">به</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">رشد</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">اقتصادی با ثبات</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">از</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">اهداف</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">مهم</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">اقتصادی</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">هر کشور محسوب می‌شود و پولشویی نیز به عنوان یک عامل منفی نقش مخربی بر بی&shy;ثباتی اقتصادی دارد، بنابراین پژوهش حاضر با هدف تأثیر پولشویی بر سلامت رشد اقتصادی در ایران انجام شد. </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br> <span style="font-size:8pt"><span style="line-height:18pt"><span style="direction:rtl"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times=""><span style="letter-spacing:-0.15pt"><b><span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">روش:</span></span></b><span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:"> در مطالعه حاضر برای بررسی</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">ارتباط</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">بین</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">متغیر پولشویی و</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">رشد</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">اقتصادی در ایران</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">طی دوره زمانی 1365-1398 از یک مدل خود توضیحی با وقفه&shy;های توزیعی</span></span> ARDL<span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">استفاده شده است، اطلاعات</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">و</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">آمار</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">مورد</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">نیاز</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">در</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">این</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">مطالعه</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">از</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">وبگاه</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">بانک</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">مرکزی</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">جمهوری</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">اسلامی</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">ایران و مرکز آمار اقتباس</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">شد، همچنین</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">از</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">مقدار</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">کشفیات مواد مخدر</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">به</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">عنوان</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">سازه پولشویی</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">و از</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">درصد تغییرات</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">تولید</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">ناخالص</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">داخلی</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">به</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">عنوان</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">شاخص</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">اندازه&shy;گیری</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">رشد</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">اقتصادی</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">استفاده</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">شده</span></span> <span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">است.</span></span><span lang="AR-SA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span style="font-family:"B Nazanin""></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br> <span style="font-size:8pt"><span style="line-height:18pt"><span style="direction:rtl"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times=""><span style="letter-spacing:-0.15pt"><b><span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">یافته‌ها</span></span></b><span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">: یافته&shy;های حاصل از تخمین نشان می&shy;دهد که بین متغیرهای مستقل مدل با متغیر وابسته رشد اقتصادی رابطه</span></span>&shy;<span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">ی معناداری وجود دارد. بدین معنا که بین متغیر مستقل پولشویی و متغیر وابسته&shy;ی رشد اقتصادی یک &shy;رابطه&shy;ی منفی و معنادار برقرار است. </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br> <span style="font-size:8pt"><span style="line-height:18pt"><span style="direction:rtl"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times=""><span style="letter-spacing:-0.15pt"><b><span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:"><span style="letter-spacing:-.3pt">نتیجه‌گیری:</span></span></span></b><span lang="FA" style="font-size:11.0pt"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:"><span style="letter-spacing:-.3pt"> در نهایت نتیجه اینکه افزایش پولشویی بر عملکرد اقتصاد کلان اثر منفی دارد به‌طوری‌که گسترش آن تولید ناخالص داخلی را کم می‌کند، بدین معنی که هر چقدر شستشوی پول کثیف از طریق کسب از راه قاچاق بیشتر باشد تأثیر منفی بر روی رشد مثبت اقتصادی بر جای خواهد گذاشت.</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></div> <div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="line-height:12.0pt"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times=""><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt">Background:</span></b><span style="font-size:10.0pt"> Since achieving stable economic growth is considered one of the important economic goals of every country and money laundering as a negative factor has a destructive role on economic instability, the current research was conducted with the aim of investigating the effect of money laundering on the health of economic growth in Iran.</span></span></span></span><br> <span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="line-height:12.0pt"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times=""><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt">Methods</span></b><span style="font-size:10.0pt">: In the present study, a self-explanatory model with ARDL distribution intervals was used to investigate the relationship between the money laundering variable and economic growth in Iran during the period of 1986-2019. The information and statistics required in this study are obtained from the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and Statistics Center websites. Additionallt, the amount of drug discovery was used as a money laundering structure and the percentage of changes in GDP was used as an indicator of economic growth.</span></span></span></span><br> <span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="line-height:12.0pt"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times=""><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt">Results</span></b><span style="font-size:10.0pt">: The findings of the estimation show that there is a significant relationship between the independent variables of the model and the dependent variable of economic growth. This means that there is a negative and significant relationship between the independent variable of money laundering and the dependent variable of economic growth.</span></span></span></span><br> <span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="line-height:12.0pt"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times=""><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt">Conclusion</span></b><span style="font-size:10.0pt">: Conclusively, the result of this study indicated that the increase in money laundering has a negative effect on the macroeconomic performance, so that its expansion reduces the GDP. This means that the more dirty money is laundered through smuggling, the greater will be the negative impact on positive economic growth.</span></span></span></span></div> ایران, پول‌شویی, رشد اقتصادی Economic Development, Iran, Money Laundering 89 97 http://ijhp.ir/browse.php?a_code=A-10-326-1&slc_lang=fa&sid=1 Parastoo Hatamian پرستو حاتمیان P.hatamian1375@gmail.com 10031947532846009610 10031947532846009610 No majoring in economic development and planning, Razi University, Kermanshah, Iran علوم اقتصادی، گرایش توسعه اقتصادی و برنامه‌ریزی، دانشگاه رازی، کرمانشاه، ایران Qiomars Sohili کیومرث سهیلی Qsohily@razi.ac.ir 10031947532846009611 10031947532846009611 Yes Department of Economics, Razi University, Kermanshah, Iran گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه رازی، کرمانشاه، ایران Shahram Fatahi شهرام فتاحی Fatahi@razi.ac.ir 10031947532846009612 10031947532846009612 No Department of Economics, Razi University, Kermanshah, Iran گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه رازی، کرمانشاه، ایران